1. Surface live market picks
The public desk scans upcoming NBA, NFL and EPL markets. A market-implied pick must cost 65–80¢, offer at least $25 estimated profit per $100 if correct, have at least $100 of top-book depth, use a quote no older than ten seconds and start more than ten minutes away. This is a liquidity and payout filter, not proof of positive expected value.
2. Build an independent fair line
When the independent reference feed is active, pre-game moneylines are collected from approved books. Vig is removed from every complete market, stale books are discarded and the median probability is weighted toward recent updates.
3. Match the exact contract
Team names, event time, overtime rules and settlement source must agree. A market with uncertain mapping is suppressed rather than guessed.
4. Verify value and executable size
A model-verified pick additionally requires at least 65% independent fair probability and a qualifying edge after price, liquidity and estimated costs. The displayed market-implied percentage is never presented as the independent model probability.
5. Fit the bankroll
The dashboard shows a 1% bankroll risk reference and a 5% total exposure ceiling. Customers review the current price and place every bet manually on Hyperliquid.